Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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NATO Force Integration Units: Are NFIUs a Valuable Element of NATO Deterrence and Defense Posture?

Reviewed - Review

Martin Botík, Jan Mazal

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 71-80 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.071-080

Russian aggressions against Georgia (2008) and Ukraine (2014) led NATO into unprecedented changes in the NATO deterrence and defense posture at its eastern flank. The establishment of NATO Force Integration Units with their mission to facilitate high readiness forces deployment was one of the measures taken. The role and tasks of NATO Force Integration Units are very complex. They include a variety of different tasks across all levels: strategic, operational and tactical from peacetime up to activation of Article 4 or 5 of the Washington Treaty. Besides the main mission, these tasks consist of: assurance, deterrence, planning, information sharing, situational awareness, and liaison to Host Nation including contribution to strategic communication. The complexity of the performed tasks and their location in capital cities make NATO Force Integration Units an effective and valuable element of the NATO deterrence and defense posture at the eastern flank.

Risk Management in the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic Development Planning Process

Reviewed - Research

Miroslav Chylík, Josef Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 3-24 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.03.003-024

The authors offer the research outcome focusing on the assessment of risk management practices applied in the Armed Forces development planning process. Based on analytical outcomes, contemporary theory and best practices authors outline comprehensive approach to risk management within the Armed Forces development planning process. The purpose of the article is to enhance effectiveness of existing managerial process and elevate risk management from rather administrative exercise to effective management tool in the time of growing level of uncertainty. As the most suitable instrument, the Risk Management Plan is developed including the necessary implementation measures within the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic.

Operational Art: Theory for Practice

Military art

Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 45-54

The aim of the article is to provide the readers information related to the theory of fundamental elements and tools of operational art, which are for the preparation and conduct of military operations, particularly at the operational level of war, critical. The operational level of war depends on methods that will create appropriate conditions to achieve the closing state, set by a superior commander, in accordance with the complex strategy of military and non-military instruments of state power. Although the methods of application of specific operational art components rest mainly in the mind of the English Annotations and with several acts tied with civil emergency preparation.

Review of the Author´s Monography - Petr Rožňák

Book review

Jan Eichler

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2025, Vol. XXXIV. (LXVI.): 262-264

Social Media as a Tool for Profiling Potential Intelligence Service Sources. How are the Military Students Doing?

Reviewed

Libor Kutěj

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2025, Vol. XXXIV. (LXVI.): 24-36 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.34.2025.01.024-036


The article addresses the use of social media intelligence (SOCMINT) as a tool for recruiting and selecting souces by foreign intelligence services, with an emphasis on the risks it poses to students in military studies at national military universitiy. It analyzes the specific ways in which SOCMINT enables foreign intelligence agencies to effectively gather personal data and profile potential collaborators from both public and private information shared online. Research conducted among students of the University of Defense and other institutions revealed that military students share comparable types of information on social networks as their civilian peers, making them equally vulnerable to the activities of foreign intelligence services. However, military students are preparing for careers in defense and security, making them a significantly more attractive target for foreign intelligence agencies than other categories of employees.

Deepfake as an Advanced Manipulative Technique for Spreading Propaganda

Reviewed - Review

Martin Havlík

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 3-16 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.01.003-017

The article describes the basic foundations and significance of the manipulative technique called Deepfake, which in the environment of technological and informational expansion is also becoming a widely used tool for spreading propaganda. This advanced manipulation complements a wider spectrum of forms of disinformation and is increasingly being used as a means of conducting information operations, often as part of wider hybrid warfare. Effectively combating this kind of manipulation places high demands on consumers of information, both on the part of the detection tools used and on the part of the cognitive human approach based on critical thinking. The expansion and sophistication of similar manipulative techniques will continue, in connection with the development of modern technologies and the interconnectedness of the information environment. Although the Deepfake technique is not only associated with security-military aspects, its influence on information operations and hybrid warfare cannot be neglected.


Effectiveness of Training Using Simulation Technologies in the Training of Students of the University of Defence in Tactical Training

Reviewed - Research

Ľudovít Hradský, Luděk Rak, Jan Nohel

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2025, Vol. XXXIV. (LXVI.): 155-178 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.34.2025.02.155-178


The article deals with the possibility of using simulation technologies in the training of students of the University of Defence in tactical training and seeks to answer the question whether the use of these means brings demonstrable effectiveness by means of an experiment. First-year students in a Field Training course were randomly divided into 42 sections of approximately equal numbers and then assigned to 3 categories based on their use of live and virtual simulation. All groups were assigned points for a specific tactical activity during the final exercise. The total scores of all groups were subjected to a subsequent statistical investigation using a one-factor analysis of variance on the data to examine whether there were statistically significant differences between the groups. Although students' use of modern simulation technology had a perceived positive effect on improving the quality of training, there was no evidence of statistically significant differences between the groups studied using statistical methods. However, the results of the experiment do show to some extent that some differences do exist between the groups and therefore leaves some opportunity to conduct similar, or more extensive research, in an effort to promote the attractiveness of the training process to military school students.

The use of modeling and simulation in the development process optimization of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic

Reviewed - Research

Jan Mazal, Jan Zezula, Josef Procházka, Dalibor Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 140-158 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.140-158

The article contributes to a more efficient use of the theoretical, technological and application base, especially to the improvement of decision-making processes at the strategic level. It offers a methodological framework for solving the armed forces capability optimization problem by implementing modeling, simulation and operations research tools and theories.

Are There Real Global Catastrophic Biological Risks?

Reviewed

Aleš Macela, Vanda Boštíková

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2025, Vol. XXXIV. (LXVI.): 55-69 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.34.2025.01.055-069


Biosafety and biodefense (i.e. all countermeasures preventing the spread of biological agents in the environment and population) are on the regular agenda of states and their militaries. Somewhat aside are global catastrophic biological risks (GCBR), which can destroy human society as a biological species. Although a precise definition of what constitutes a global catastrophic biological risk is still being sought, it can be considered the impact of potential global catastrophic risks (GCR) on the social, economic and biological structure of human existence. This implies that GCBRs are a subset of GCRs. It is also open to discussion whether in the case of GCBRs the risk must necessarily be biological agents, from viruses to humans, or whether anthropogenic threats can also be accepted as risk factors, or what the impact must be for a risk to be included under the designation GCBR.

Weapon System Acquisition Process Utilizing Design Simulation as Decision Support

Reviewed

Jan Drozd, Josef Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 37-50 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.04.037-050

The selection of optimal weapon systems is crucial for national defense. Traditional empirical methods struggle to address the complexities of modern warfare. This article explores the potential of constructive simulation for informed decision-making in this domain. Simulating tactical operations with complex variables, such as terrain, enemy actions, and system interoperability, provides valuable insights into weapon effectiveness. This enables the optimization of acquisitions in line with strategic goals. Design simulation allows for the exploration of factors difficult to test comparison of armament configurations, analysis of enemy tactics, and optimization of unit composition and deployment, saving costs and time. Simulation enables the safe exploration of even high-risk scenarios.

Threats and Hazards of Grey Rhino Paradigm

Reviewed - Research

Olga Burianová, Jiří F. Urbánek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 85-96 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.02.085-096

Grey Rhino is a metaphor for security threat, which is unkept irrational for large extent also high probability of harmful effect on a subject of risk owner. Business continuity management system is assessed in a diagram as controlling instrument aimed at operational hazard mitigation of continuity disturbance of affected subject. A ´from Operations´ Value Added - O´VA is established as qualitative dynamic information about productivity of activities. The measures are designed in crisis scenario for quality improvement of subject´s crisis readiness. An indicator of business risk continuity slip is defined. In a connection with war conflict on Ukraine is assessed if it is Grey Rhino manifestation.

Update on the United States Nuclear Strategy: from NPR 2018 to NPR 2022

Reviewed - Research

Adam Potočňák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 3-22 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.02.003-022

The article follows the author's comparative analysis of American and Russian nuclear doctrines and armaments from the fall of 2021. It presents the current nuclear strategy of the United States of America based on a content analysis of three specific areas of the updated version of the Nuclear Posture Review. Applying interpretive analysis and a rich secondary sources apparatus, the author also reflects on his 2021-formulated assumptions and expectations about the further development of American nuclear strategy under President Joe Biden. The author analyzes the influence of the presidential administration's ideological and political ambitions together with the decisive geopolitical events of 2022 and concludes that mainly due to the second factor, the current shape of American nuclear strategy has not undergone any revolutionary changes and continues to maintain a long-standing continuity and consensus about its basic principles.

Is the Transatlantic Bond a Permanent Constant for our Security?

Opinions, controversy

Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2025, Vol. XXXIV. (LXVI.): 159-165

The Legal Basis for the Participation of the Slovak Republic in the UNFICYP Peacekeeping Operation

Nonreviewed - Other

Ján Marek, Pavel Bučka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 154-167

This article looks at the operation of the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic in Cyprus within the UNFICYP peacekeeping operation. It presents the basic legal framework for the operation of the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic in this peacekeeping operation and maps the progress of the peacekeeping operation and the fulfilment of tasks by its members. The aim of the research was to evaluate the current approach of the Slovak Republic to UN operations with an emphasis on addressing the security situation at Cyprus. At the same time, the article points to the important role of the Slovak Republic in the UNFICYP peacekeeping operation after it took over responsibility for the entire Sector 4 in 2018.

Officer's Competencies

Reviewed - Review

Přemysl Štěpánek, Richard Saibert

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 51-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.01.051-070

The article deals with the process of identification of competencies for commanders in leading units in military operations. The used methodology based on combined approach founded on selected competency rosters and its further modification seemed to be relevant and applicable in the Czech Armed Forces conditions. Military officer's profiles anchored in the EU Commission Database for Armed Forces and in the EU Sectoral Qualifications Framework for Military Officer Profession have been proven as the most relevant frameworks of competencies. Both are formulated and structured to be as generic as possible for all officers regardless of their specialization. They were established on current theories and incorporate extensive amount of entries from various national sources. The resulting list of 24 generic competencies, selected from a total of 69 competencies analyzed, represents a possible example of a set of requirements imposed on the Czech Armed Forces officers.

Some Tools of the Czech Republic Security Policy to Prevent Proliferation of Nuclear and Chemical Weapons

Nonreviewed - Other

Martin Fokt, Antonín Novotný, Pavel Otřísal

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 128-148

The article deals with selected international treaties, current agreements and international cooperation initiatives in the field of non-proliferation of nuclear and chemical weapons, in which the Czech Republic is represented through specific bodies or ministries. There is also a general description of the view and the specific military approach. The involvement of the MoD and the Czech Armed Forces in NATO structures enables to influence the strategic decision-making in the area of CBRN and thus support the current trends concerning forensic analysis, sampling of CBRN samples and response to new trends in the field of WMD elimination.

The New Wars: Terrorism and "Asymmetric" Warfare

Reviewed - Review

Alexander Treiblmajer

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 93-108 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.093-108

The term "new wars" is often used to describe how terrorist groups achieve objectives in addition to the "classic" means of intervention by states. Terrorist organizations use asymmetric methods of warfare to target the weaknesses of Western states. Consequently, conventional wars have also changed into hybrid wars. The legal status of terrorist organizations is a major problem for the rule of law. In responding to terrorist attacks, the distinction between crime and terrorism is difficult. The "war on terror" is governed by different rules and principles and is extremely difficult to wage. Conflicts last a long time and victory against terrorism is rarely possible due to the networked structure of terrorist organizations and the way they intermingle with the population. In addition to an alliance-wide approach, there is a national solution to answer these new threats in form of the comprehensive national defense in Austria.

Internet of Things Vulnerabilities in Military Environments

Reviewed - Review

Andras Toth

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 45-58 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.03.045-058

IoT devices (sensors, drones, cameras) are gaining more and more emphasis on military operations. The application of IoT elements in the military environment increases situational awareness and supports the acquisition and maintenance of information superiority. The information they provide about the enemy, the area of operations, and the location and status of our soldiers and assets can contribute to the successful execution of operations at the tactical, operational and strategic levels. However, they can also pose serious threats if their vulnerabilities allow the data they collected to leak or they provide access to the info-communication networks used for the enemy. In this article, the author examined the vulnerabilities of these IoT devices using keyword analysis. After drawing conclusions from the analysis of the relevant literature, he compared the results with the general-purpose IoT threats and attacks typical of today, like distributed denial of service attacks, security, software, security and privacy issues.

Characteristics of Forcible Entries into Objects and an Experimental Assessment of the Potential Impact of Fragments Scattering on Training Safety when Using Fence Charge

Reviewed - Research

Ota Rolenec, Pavel Maňas, Tibor Palasiewicz

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 147-166 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.02.147-166

The article focuses on the characteristics of forcible entries into objects and the term "breaching", which is often used interchangeably with this activity. The article further addresses the issue of fragments scattering when using a charge to overcome chain-link fences. The introductory chapter describes the execution of training in this field using the exercise facilities that are built for this purpose in military training areas. When conducting explosive forcible entry training, the safe distance for intervening teams and non-participants is determined using given formulas. The purpose of the simulation, mathematical calculations and experiment was to assess the extent to which fragments scattering occurs during explosive overcoming of these fences and whether the procedures used to determine the safe distance for non-participants are sufficient.

Introduction of Autonomous Combat Vehicles into the Czech Armed Forces

Reviewed - Review

Jan Kovanda

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 83-97 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.02.083-097

The article addresses the issue of the emergence of new technologies and their impact on the capabilities of the Czech Armed Forces (CAF). A summary of the recommendations is presented. In particular, there is a need for a conceptual approach to the integration of new systems in order to avoid spontaneous purchasing, which could be very logistically demanding. The very rapid development in the field of unmanned autonomous systems using elements of artificial intelligence offers opportunities to use them in support of the tasks of CAF. Due to the breadth of this issue, the scope is limited to the area of the Special Forces, which introduce these new sophisticated means into use throughout the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic.

Strategic Documents of the Czech Republic and Ministry of Defence Acquisitions

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Antonín Novotný, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 21-32 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.25.2016.03.021-032

This article aims to reflect a digression into the history of selected strategic documents, which processed the Ministry of Defence or was in the processing involved - in connection to the planning of acquisitions. The ambition of the article is not a comprehensive evaluation process, but only the selected aspects. After many years of decreasing Czech defence budget, is here the opposite situation. In connection with the new situation it is necessary to rethink the current approach to this topic; to ensure maximal security of the Czech Republic and in a figurative sense NATO and the European Union also. The fact, that the Czech strategy document was among the best in the EU, does not mean that defence spending is automatically efficient.

Liability for Health Damage - Public vs Private Area

Reviewed - Review

Ondřej Horák, Leopold Skoruša, Radim Vičar, Tomáš Zbořil

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 110-128 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.03.110-128

The article deals with the comparison of refunds of non-material damage in public and private area. In the public area is analyzed legal regulation on health injuries in service relations, in private area is discussed legal regulation on health injuries in civil law and labour law. Particular attention will be focused on the transfer of compensation in the event of injury to the heirs - while in service relationships, such claims are extinguished by death (not transferred on the heirs), which was taken over from the 1960s legislation, in current private law, do not cease if they have been recognized or at least brought in court. The aim of the paper is a critical analysis for the current state of legal regulation and the proposals de lege ferenda (approximation to labour law regulation). The issue has increased importance for public finances and functioning of public sector and enforcement of the rule of law.

Crowdsourcing as an Element of Strategic-Operational Intelligence. How NATO Used it and Changed the Game

Reviewed - Review

Karel Pešek, Jozef Vojtek, Libor Kutěj

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 84-104 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.01.084-104

The article focuses on the concept of crowdsourcing in the social networking environment as a new phenomenon involving civilians in the intelligence process, enabling the use of their intelligence potential during armed conflict. Crowdsourcing of the civilian population is introduced by the example of NATO intervention during the first civil war in Libya. The article presents its use during the intelligence process at the strategic-operational level of command and control of the armed forces. It establishes its possible definition as a collection method of the intelligence process, and as a collection method which is disjunctively separable from similar intelligence collection methods.

The UN and NATO as the Main Pillars of the International Security Architecture with a Focus on the Middle East Region

Reviewed - Research

Yvona Novotná-Šabacká

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 18-35 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.02.018-035

This study provides a summary overview of the creation and the activities of the international security architecture in the form of their two main pillars, i.e. the United Nations and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in the Near and Middle East region. Within the framework of international security relations, this is a very unstable and conflictual region, where this instability has lasted practically since the establishment of the State of Israel in 1948. The global UN, its overall activity and importance, especially humanitarian and peace-building activities not only for the Near and Middle East region, is very beneficial, through out the Cold War period up to the present day. As a security organization, NATO is among the most important global actors influencing current international security relations. Through their activities, both of these organizations represent a essential means of ensuring world peace and security.

Convergence of NDPP and CSDP Planning Process as a Part of the NATO-EU Strategic Partnership Reinforcing

Reviewed - Review

Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 45-59 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.045-059

Over the last few years, a need for reinforcing the NATO-EU mutual coherence has become increasingly apparent. The EU and NATO have recently initiated the steps to consolidate the strategic cooperation where a way ahead to converge NDPP and CSDP planning process was also underpinned. The recent introduction of new tools tailored to get more effective the CSDP process offers new opportunities for facilitating a convergence of EU and NATO planning approaches. Even if it is impossible to assume that the Alliance's and the Union's planning processes would become identical, the implementation of PESCO and other subsequent procedural tools has created a room for potential synchronization and harmonization of respective planning processes. The paper summarises findings on certain parts of both processes which could be brought closer, in terms of time and procedures, without affecting the autonomy of both organizations in any way.

Civil-Military Cooperation: Its Changing Role in Combined NATO Operations and Under National Command

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Pavel Zona, Ph.D., Ing. Vlastimil Galatík, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 76-88 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.076-088

The role of civil-military cooperation (CIMIC) is increasing in the post-modern wars (operations). CIMIC is a significant element at the coordination of military and civilian participant activities over current military operations. New tasks for actors are as result from new NATO concept and outline new tasks dimension. The armed forces as well as the Army of the Czech Republic (ACR), have to solve many problems associated with this new dimension. The article outlines a possible set of activities associated with the new approach to CIMIC in crisis management in the context of the Alliance operation.

From the Common Security and Defence Policy to the Common Army of the European Union?

Reviewed - Review

Vojtech Jurčák, Radoslav Ivančík

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 18-34 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.01.018-034

Voices about the need to build a joint European Union army have been appearing on the European scene for several years, but recently these voices have become stronger, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Therefore, in the article, the authors deal with the issue of the possibility of creating a common European army. They draw on from socio-scientific political science approaches to current security frameworks, examine the current state, and at the same time point out that, despite the threats Europe is facing, there is still no clear plan for how such an army should be created. Considering the facts mentioned in the article, the authors state that the creation of a common European army, at least for now, seems unlikely, as a supranational model of the European army would require the transfer of sensitive national competences from the member states to the EU level.

Palestine in a Vicious Circle of Violence, Wars and Terror (1948-2023)

Reviewed - Research

Jan Eichler

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 36-55 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.02.036-055

This article deals with one of the most explosive areas of the world today, which is the Near and Middle East (NMEA) and especially the territory of historical Palestine, where the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (IPC) has been going on for a long time. The text deals primarily with historical and military factors and is written as a historical explanatory analysis. It focuses on the most significant historical events and explains the ways of functioning and the consequences of the processes that have been taking place there for a long time.

Leadership development in the conditions of the Czech Armed Forces

Reviewed - Research

Milan Marek, Aleš Tesař

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 50-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.050-070

The aim of this article is to define leadership as a process required in the Czech Armed Forces. To this end, the nature of military leadership is first identified by analyzing similarities and differences of the widely accepted theoretical concepts (schools) of leadership, including approaches used in selected alliance armed forces. Based on the current state of affairs analysis, the components of leadership and the relationship among them are identified, as well as general conditions for their application. In accordance with the knowledge gained, a general leadership model of the Army of the Czech Republic is proposed.

Civil War in Myanmar. Causes, Actors, Development

Reviewed

Miroslav Nožina

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 91-104 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.04.091-104

The civil war in Myanmar has been going on for more than seven decades. After the military coup in February 2021, it has undergone significant structural changes and gained new momentum. The causes of the conflict lie in the inability of different ethnic and political groups to find a way to coexist within a single state entity and the autonomisation of the military. The main actors in the war in Myanmar today are the military junta and its supporters, the democratic opposition and ethnic organisations. After the coup, the strength of the resistance movement and its operational capabilities are growing. However, this growth has its limits, given the continued disunity of opposition forces, the technical superiority of the Myanmar army and the strengthening of its numbers through compulsory conscription.

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