Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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Results 181 to 210 of 4458:

The Importance of the Zrínyi 2026 Defence and Military Development Program

Reviewed - Review

Olivér Balogh

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 55-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.03.055-070

The present article expresses the importance of the Zrínyi 2026 Hungarian government medium-term modernization program and its impact on military security in the region. Migration crisis, hybrid warfare treatments and withdrawal from the INF (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces) treaty were the main reasons for the enactment of the Zrínyi 2026 program. Comparing the Polish and Hungarian Defence Forces, the article analyses the significance of military security in Central Europe. The analysis explores organizational and legal changes and the purchase of armaments. The Hungarian program's objectives are to change not only the equipment but also the structure and organization. The Commander of the Hungarian Defence Forces was separated from the Ministry of Defence. The Hungarian program has declared the increase in the number of reserve forces to twenty thousand and the active duty personnel to roughly thirty-eight thousand. Due to the modernization the military forces will be equipped with new components.

The Reform of Czechoslovakian Military Thinking and the Year 1968

Reviewed - Review

Stanislav Polnar, Bronislav Prokop

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. MC/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 86-102 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.MC.086-102

This paper is devoted to the role of a periodical Vojenská mysl in the reform of Czechoslovak "1968". There were various contributions on its pages, which criticized the lack of the Czechoslovak military doctrine. The corn of criticism was also aimed at non-systemic arrangements based on Soviet pressures in the area of diplomacy and military policy. Vojenská mysl reflected carefully the general process of democratization, which influenced the daily life in the Czechoslovakian army. The democratization required involvement of scientific base in military affaires, a long with better use of personnel capacity in the military.

Current Problems and Needs of Modern War Veterans (sociological research)

Reviewed - Research

Jaromír Ďuriš, Jiří Hodný

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 62-75 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.02.062-075

The paper presents selected knowledge and findings of the sociological survey, which was focused on identifying the needs and problems of modern war veterans leaving the military service in 2018. The findings of the research point to recurrent problems in communication and information transmission to the ending soldiers in their service as well as the lack of information in relation to the resort's offers of care and assistance to war veterans. The subjects involved in the war veteran care system do not always have full current information, which may lead to negative reactions and attitudes of some military personnel that the setting system does not adequately respond to soldiers' problems and needs, especially before leaving military service.

Key roles and interests of Pakistan and India in Afghanistan

Reviewed - Review

Martin Havlík

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 18-31 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.04.018-031

This review attempts to analyze in detail the specific roles and interests of the key players represented by Pakistan and India in Afghanistan. The focus of individual actors in the South Asian region was focused on identifying key objectives, defining specific national interests and strategies in Afghanistan. The aim of the article is to find out, analyze, interpret and understand information about the power relations of Pakistan and India in relation to the security situation in Afghanistan. The content focuses on the analysis of Pakistan-India relations and their intertwining in Afghan society. The aim is not to relate the content to a generalized theory or known theoretical paradigm of international relations, but to analyze the aspects of the Afghanistan in relation to Pakistan and India.

Commanders´ Development for Strategic Level Defence Management

Reviewed - Review

Milan Marek, Josef Procházka, Janka Kosecová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 20-37 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.02.020-037

The article offers for expert discussion research outcomes assessing commanders´ development in the area of leadership for assignments in defense organization. It also evaluates the level of utilization of gained competencies while managing these organizations. Research was conducted from 2017 to 2019 and embraced predominantly surveys among participants of career courses provided by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies of Defense University in the life-long education program. Research outcomes proved limited level of understanding and implementation of leadership theoretical framework in daily business. Additionally, it shows that the implementation of verified leadership processes and principles by middle- and higher-military management fluctuates about the average level. Furthermore, it figured out an insufficient application of all available instruments for people motivation and support including the approach "leading by example". Finally, it outlined several recommendations for the reinforcement of military personal preparation in the area of leadership for the successful conduct of middle- and higher-managerial position in military organizations. The first and at the same time the most significant step is the recommendation for implementing leadership areas into the Ministry of Defense conceptual documents in the form of vision, strategy and systemic measures.

Risk Management in the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic Development Planning Process

Reviewed - Research

Miroslav Chylík, Josef Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 3-24 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.03.003-024

The authors offer the research outcome focusing on the assessment of risk management practices applied in the Armed Forces development planning process. Based on analytical outcomes, contemporary theory and best practices authors outline comprehensive approach to risk management within the Armed Forces development planning process. The purpose of the article is to enhance effectiveness of existing managerial process and elevate risk management from rather administrative exercise to effective management tool in the time of growing level of uncertainty. As the most suitable instrument, the Risk Management Plan is developed including the necessary implementation measures within the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic.

Officer's Competencies

Reviewed - Review

Přemysl Štěpánek, Richard Saibert

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 51-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.01.051-070

The article deals with the process of identification of competencies for commanders in leading units in military operations. The used methodology based on combined approach founded on selected competency rosters and its further modification seemed to be relevant and applicable in the Czech Armed Forces conditions. Military officer's profiles anchored in the EU Commission Database for Armed Forces and in the EU Sectoral Qualifications Framework for Military Officer Profession have been proven as the most relevant frameworks of competencies. Both are formulated and structured to be as generic as possible for all officers regardless of their specialization. They were established on current theories and incorporate extensive amount of entries from various national sources. The resulting list of 24 generic competencies, selected from a total of 69 competencies analyzed, represents a possible example of a set of requirements imposed on the Czech Armed Forces officers.

Models of Proliferation of Rocket Technologies Used by Hybrid Actors in the Middle East

Reviewed - Review

Ladislav Kulhánek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 73-84 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.01.073-084

Rocket technology occupies an elite position in the doctrines of hybrid actors in the Middle East. The thesis of proliferation of tactical ballistic missiles analyses four models - political, technological, substitutional and propagandist-psychological. An effective reduction of ballistic missiles and technologies has been identified in the political model, where sanctions and embargoes limit the proliferation of missile technology. In the technical model, which plays a key role, the limiting factors are those of development and dissemination of high-energy laser weapons. The substitutional model illustrates the application of tactical ballistic missiles as carriers for improvised devices. It is of marginal importance, despite covering targets that involve secondary damage. Studying the model of propaganda and psychology confirms the psychological effect on the population associated with the losses, but it does not affect the reduction of missiles.

How Far is the World to Achieve World Peace and Why?

Reviewed - Review

Martin Havlík

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 76-91 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.02.076-091

The main goal of this article is to discuss in the context of selected security intentions the world peace as an idealistic phenomenon, which is determined by many factors in the current dynamically changing environment. The intention is not to compare individual philosophical theories, but to provide selected synthetic security indicators that can help measure the state of the security environment. On the basis of these arguments, we can observe a downward trend in the rate represented, also linked to an increase in the activities of terrorist groups and generally transnational threats. The article also highlights the current relatively rigid role of the UN in relation to global peace. The international community and world peace are particularly influenced by the mutual relations and the rivalry of the superpowers. In future conflicts, the transition from the physical form of the battlefield to the imaginary platform, represented mainly by cyber space, will be more evident.

Framing of Task Forces as an Outcome of Transformation of Force Using Scenarios into Capability Requirements

Reviewed - Research

Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 3-19 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.02.003-019

The aim of the article is to broaden scientific discussion held within the defence and security community on methodological approach to scenario development process. The author brings an innovative look at the concept of modular task force development, which is considered, in his conception, as a result of interconnection between capability requirements arisen from scenario analysis process, and respective type of force units being a part of the current military structure. The author´s approach to task force generation process, illustrated by a case study, is a synthesis of best practices and findings derived from national as well as EU and NATO planning processes. The proposed concept of the task force generation might be perceived as an effective tool for supporting strategic decision-making process.

Demobilisation of the Colombian Guerillas: FARC-EP and ELN

Reviewed - Review

Pavlína Bláhová, Malvína Krausz Hladká

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 85-97 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.01.085-097

Partisan and paramilitary groups operating on Colombian soil have been representing a serious regional security threat for the last fifty years. The most successful attempt to conclude a peace treaty between the government and the insurgents is represented by the peace process that took place between 2012-2016. This process resulted in the agreement between the colombian government and the guerilla group Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia - Ejército del Pueblo. This paper deals with the dynamics of the of the peace processes between the government and guerilla groups and analyzes the factors contributing to the escalation and deescalation of the conflict and factors that enabled or on the contrary disabled a successful demobilization of the insurgents. The analysis of the demobilization uncovered a number of factors indicating a contradictory acting of both sides of the conflict. While the adversaries were negotiating the peace agreement, in the same time they were violating the previous agreements. Such behaviour was caused mainly due to the absence of a strong sponsor.

Information Support of Human Resources Management in Sector of Defense

Reviewed - Review

Zdeněk Bednář

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 45-67 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.01.45-68

The article deals with the Information Support of Human Resources Management of the Ministry of Defense in terms of providing information on the quantity and quality of the personnel of the department for decision making processes. The first part describes the tools and methods of analysis for processing this information. The second part provides practical examples of this information support. On the basis of analytical studies the status of staff is presented in 2015 and 2016, supplemented by comments from the author, indicating possible ways of presenting and using this information in Human Resource Management. The author of the article, which presents the results of the long-standing experience of the creator of the information management support system, concludes that the data generated by this system could lead the adoption of a number of fundamental strategic decisions.

Religious Extremism as a Cause of Armed Conflicts: Indicators and Early Warning Systems

Reviewed - Review

Josef Kraus

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 16-25 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.03.016-025

The main topic and focus of this article is to identify the most relevant indicators of the rise of religious extremism as an important cause of armed conflicts. A religiously motivated conflict is a relevant topic in modern security studies and research. Conflict prevention using the early-warning indicators identified in this article might be interesting for the security expert community. In the article chosen methodology is available with the recommendation to following research in the examined field.

Requirements for engineer information in water crossing

Reviewed - Review

Martin Sedláček, Jaroslav Zelený

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 44-62 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.04.044-062

The work deals with the issue of engineer information, which is necessary for the planning of water crossing, and which can facilitate and speed up the proces of operation planning with the assistance of the staff members of engineer specialization. At present (2019) there is no application software development of engineer support tasks (hereinafter APV ŽEN) within the engineer command and control subsystem AČR, which would take into account the problem of water crossing by troops. The aim of the article is: to analyze the gathering of engineer information for water crossing and to describe it on a specific example of the Morava river, to identify the possibilities of water crossing by forces of AČR, to propose a map base for APV ŽEN, which will be supplemented by engineer information from Povodí s.p. and Motorway and Highway Directorate (hereinafter ŘSD) and to define measures that will support the availability of engineer information in water crossing.

Discord at Home, Discord in the World: Is Turkey, NATO's Eastern Frontier, Sustainably Stable and Peaceful?

Reviewed - Review

Vladimír Bízik

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 49-63 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.049-063

The goal of this paper is to determine if it is likely for Turkey to remain a stable country that will avoid serious internal conflicts and violent conflicts abroad. The paper examines long-term cultural and civilizational variables of cosmopolitanism and rationality. It examines indicators that are more immediately associated with the escalation of an internal conflict: violent criminality, youth unemployment rate, income inequality, corruption perception, and political terror. In the end, it examines the level of militarization and the evolution and current state of civil-military relations. It concludes that most of the indicators do not bode well for the stability and democratic consolidation of Turkey. The reason Turkey has not succumbed to political violence and social instability is likely due to its high level of political repression. Given the characteristics of the Turkish society, two basic scenarios for future development are feasible: Turkey can either become much less stable and a victim to social discord with a chance of dangerous escalation; or it will cement its authoritarianism and manage social order by draconian policing, disproportionate "counter-terrorism" laws and disregard for the rule of law. Neither of these scenarios is favourable for its NATO allies, who must engage Turkey and work within the framework of existing alliances and international organizations to mitigate the risks of Turkey either becoming a rogue player or a state embroiled in a civil conflict.

Analysis and model of Cyber security corps professional development

Reviewed - Review

Petr Františ, Jan Hodický

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 97-116 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.03.097-116

The paper deals with the professional development of cyber security corps. In the introduction the individual elements that are active in cyber security are described. Strategic analysis of the education is carried out to define the initial state. The main part of the paper is devoted to the design of the education system. The individual elements are defined in the paper, and the model of relationships between these elements is shaped. The attachment contains complete set of topics and their classification into the strands to fulfil the profile of the cyber security expert.

Využití vojsk územní obrany v krizových situacích na úrovni vojvodství

Nonreviewed - Other

Ryszard Szynowski, Krzysztof Radwan

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 98-107

The present article is devoted to the new kind of the Polish Armed Forces, namely the Territorial Defence Force (Polish: Wojska Obrony Terytorialnej, WOT), the essence of which is, i.a., territoriality. Among the many tasks facing this kind of military unit, there are the ones involving non-military threats.
By connecting the two basic elements mentioned above, the authors present in the following article the possibilities of using the Territorial Defence Force and the alternate process of administering the armed force component on a voivodeship level.

The role of neo-colonialism in the Evolution of Security Situation in Afghanistan

Reviewed - Review

Martin Havlík

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 26-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.026-040

The main goal of this article is to depict the role of postcolonial theory of neo-colonialism in the development of the security situation in Afghanistan. The introductory part is devoted to defining the postcolonial approach. This part is followed by a definition of neo-colonialism as a modern form of continuation of colonialism. The next part is focused on the role of neo-colonialism itself in Afghanistan, in relation to the influence and interests of the USA. In addition, the paper outlines the main security implications as well as the distortions of Afghanistan's regional actors (Pakistan and India) as a result of US engagement in the region. The final part summarizes the essential information in the context of the theoretical requirements and signs of neo-colonialism in relation to the activities of the US and other state actors in Afghanistan and the region.

The Approach to Defining the Competencies for Military Professionals in Command and Control in Military Operations

Reviewed - Review

Richard Saibert

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 30-47 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.01.030-047

The author presents the results of the research in the field of defining the competencies for military professionals in command and control in military operations. The main purpose of the article is to familiarize the readers with the proposal of the recommendations for implementing an integrated approach to defining the competencies needed for military personnel within the Ministry of Defense of the Czech Republic. On the basis of the analysis of the national strategic documents, analysis of the system of management of educational and training activities and evaluation of the current competency model for the members of the Czech Armed Forces, the recommendations were drawn up to introduce a conceptual approach to defining the competencies for military personnel. This set of proposed measures provides a baseline for applying the competency model as a human resource management tool.

Artillery Survey for Autonomous Weapon Systems and Basic Requirements on Survey Units

Reviewed - Review

Jan Ivan, Ladislav Potužák, Jiří Šotnar

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 63-77 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.04.063-077

The article is focused on operations of autonomous artillery weapon systems and possible requirements on survey units and their equipment. In the light of perspective purchase of artillery weapon systems it is necessary to analyze the character of operations of these systems and determine requirements on preparation of position areas. Goal of this article is to describe the character of autonomous artillery weapon systems operations in terms of functionality of individual components of navigation unit and based on this to set the requirements on survey units equipment. As the main method authors used method of scenarios where were as a scenarios determined individual variants of navigation system functionallity. Output of this article is determination of requirements on survey units equpment used for geting information about position coordinates and directions.

Slovakia and Germany - partners in defence and security area

Reviewed - Review

Stanislava Brajerčíková

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 64-77 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.064-077

The paper analyses goals of the Slovak and German foreign and security policy focused on their role in NATO as well as on the role by forming European security and defence policy. The paper deals with potential and opportunities for more intensive and effective cooperation between Slovakia and Germany regarding their security and defence policy orientation. It finds out that there are some important NATO and EU projects and initiatives, such as "out of area" missions engagement, battle groups building, Framework Nations Concept or a new announced project Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) to be used in the deepening process of Slovak-German security and defence relations.

Some Tools of the Czech Republic Security Policy to Prevent Proliferation of Nuclear and Chemical Weapons

Nonreviewed - Other

Martin Fokt, Antonín Novotný, Pavel Otřísal

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 128-148

The article deals with selected international treaties, current agreements and international cooperation initiatives in the field of non-proliferation of nuclear and chemical weapons, in which the Czech Republic is represented through specific bodies or ministries. There is also a general description of the view and the specific military approach. The involvement of the MoD and the Czech Armed Forces in NATO structures enables to influence the strategic decision-making in the area of CBRN and thus support the current trends concerning forensic analysis, sampling of CBRN samples and response to new trends in the field of WMD elimination.

Plukovnik Bohumil Biciste, prislusnik 1. cs. armadniho sboru v SSSR

Nonreviewed - Other

Jiří Klůc

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 108-113

Modular Force Structure: Risk for NATO Common Defence?

Reviewed - Review

Karel Zetocha

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 48-58 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.01.048-058

The concept of modular forces seems to be an ideal solution for a topical dilemma: how to build a single set of units for a wide range of military operations. However, the concept of unit modularity has its limitations. The article explains how the modular force structure supports flexibility and consequently brings increased demand on the number of support units. For this reason, the modular force organisation cannot be built without massive investment in support capabilities. The concept of modularity includes the risk that shortage of support units will significantly limit the readiness of forces for a large conventional war. The author presents four recommendations for the application of the concept of modularity at a national level to facilitate the formation of allied forces.

Legal and Illegal Wars in Present-day World

Reviewed - Research

Doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 17-29 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.03.017-029

After the year 1990 a total of 120 wars have taken place. The most appealing were those initiated by the USA, in which other friendly states´ve participated as well. No country has the right to invade its neighbour or over-run and annex another. There were many discussions in the world over the legacy of imposed interventions, under which conditions they are true and just. The study covers two dissimilar attitudes: the first one against Hussein's expansionist policy in 1991 and warfare after 9/11 2001. The legitimacy rests upon Resolutions of the United Nations Security Council that allow any nation to remove the aggressor by force. The author also mentions a series of wars, fought throughout the former Yugoslavia from 1991 to 1995, and then again from 1998 until 1999/2001.

Applicability of Former Soldiers at the Labour Market

Reviewed - Research

Kristýna Binková

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 82-98 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.02.082-098

The article deals with the applicability of professional soldiers in the labour market after the termination of military service. Its aim is to outline the information about the unemployment of former soldiers and to present the main results of sociological research, which was held among 313 former members of the Czech Armed Forces. Based on the processing of statistics of the Labour Office of the Czech Republic, it was found out that on average 18% of former soldiers of productive age were 8 months without employment during 2008 - 2017. With the help of a questionnaire survey, it was found out that more than a fifth of the respondents were looking for an employment in the civilian sector for more than half a year. The majority of respondents do not perceive the system of preparation for a second career of soldiers as elaborate. They state that the issue of second career was not addressed during their military service. There are possible recommendations for improving the current state of integration of soldiers into the labour market at the end of the article.

Czech Defence Policy Assessment in 2017/2018

Reviewed - Review

Lukáš Dyčka, Josef Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 3-19 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.003-019

The research described in this paper was conducted in the framework of institutional research project Strategic Alternatives (STRATAL) within the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies of University of Defence, The Czech Republic. Article assesses the development of Czech Defence policy in 2017 and first half of 2018. Authors analyse key change drivers in external environment (security threats, EU strategic autonomy, transatlantic link). In second step authors evaluate measures taken in political, military, administrative, economical and societal domain in response to key change drivers and highlight related risks to effective defence policy formulation and implementation.

Perfecting the Instrument: Learning Operations at the Beginning of Campaigns

Reviewed - Review

Lazar Berman, Yaniv Friedman

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 75-92 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.03.075-092

Uncertainty is a constant in war. Militaries regularly go into conflicts with operational concepts that are not relevant in the face of the enemy and his plans. The authors propose a way to reduce uncertainty and rapidly check, then adapt, the operational concept - designed learning operations at the beginning of campaigns. These relatively small operations will create friction with the enemy, giving learning teams crucial information to assess their operational concepts. Learning operations offer conventional militaries a way to maximize their advantages over sub-state enemies, by concentrating learning at the outset of the fight and adapting first.

Some Aspects of Structured Intelligence Analysis

Reviewed - Review

Jozef Vojtek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 59-72 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.01.059-072

Structured analysis is a systematic approach to solving intelligence analytic problems. Methodology and analytical techniques in the intelligence analysis include the selection of structured techniques from the point of view of the analytical task and the use of the analytical spectrum. Basic structured analytical techniques ensure transparency and reduce personality bias. Taxonomy is the basis for quality analysis. There are 55 types of techniques that complement expert judgment and intuition. A properly structured analysis contains twelve questions supplemented by a number of analytical techniques. The method of analytical spectrum in strategy leads to the split of the process into the phase of analysis, synthesis, selection of information and argumentation, and the analysis itself consists of four sub-stages. The basic parameters that negatively affect the use of structured analytical techniques by intelligence analysts are the analytical and collective approach, the patterns and the level of education.

Contemporary Terrorism Manifestations (Simple Causal Model Analysis)

Nonreviewed - Other

Tomáš Novotný

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 94-105

The editorial board of Vojenské rozhledy Journal presents an article by General Staff Colonel (plk. gšt.) Tomáš Novotný, currently the Chief of the Department of Strategic Planning (J-5) of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic. This article was published in HORYZONTY BEZPIECZEŃSTWA Nr 8 (3) 2017 and it is available online at http://www.prawo.uni.opole.pl/horyzonty_bezp/Nr_8(3)_2017.pdf. The article is very closely linked to the subject of the contribution published in Vojenské rozhledy 3/2019, entitled "Religious Extremism as a Cause of Armed Conflicts: Indicators and Early Warning Systems", and in a certain way it defines its theoretical foundations.
This article briefly describes and puts together conclusions of the Copenhagen Peace Research Institute' key publications, which were released within the transformation of the Security Studies at the turn of the millennium, with conclusions of the UN Human Security Concept that was successfully institutionalized in 2012. Afterwards, the "Copenhagen School" methodology was applied on the UN Human Security Concept to identify a set of human security challenges and threats, which have been - after analysis of their causal relationship - supplemented by a causal classification. Most security threats create a causal link with one or more other security threats. This fact implies that there is a possibility to create a causal model (mental, graphic, etc.) of any security threat to simulate or to predict the consequences and successfulness / efectivity of a suggested security solution (securitizating or de-securitizating). As a practical subject of a security threat causal analysis was used the model of processes on the way "from a state failure to a terrorism manifestation" adapted to contemporaty situation in the European Union.

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