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Actionable Intelligence - Supporting Instrument for Commander's Decision-making ProcessReviewed - ReviewIng. Martin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 61-72 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.25.2016.01.061-072 This article describes the doctrinal determination and definitions of the term Actionable Intelligence and the impact of this specific intelligence concepton commander's decision-making process. The part of this report deals with the position of Actionable Intelligence in intelligence branch, concretely in connection with the intelligence disciplines and particular stages within intelligence cycle. There is also the accentuation of interconnection to the importance of intelligence information sharing, early warning systems and force protection on tactical level. The next part of this article is focused on the impact of intelligence support on commander's decision-making processes. |
Morocco´s Foreign Fighters: Jihadists´ 2nd Generation and its Islamist IdeologyNonreviewed - OtherMgr. Jana KostrounováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 82-90 There is currently about 1 500 Moroccan citizens fighting for the so-called Daech in Syria and Iraq; that makes the North African monarchy one of the main countries which export radical islam djihadists and supporters abroad to the war-beaten Syrian-Iraqi region. Until 2014 Moroccan officials let them leave the country almost freely, to be precise, they didn´t prevent them from travelling to Syria, Iraq and other proxy war destinations. That´s how have the Moroccan fighters joined the Daech rows fighting in the beginning against the Syrian president Asad. But it seems now that the situation has rapidly changed: the Kingdom of Morocco is currently fighting and closely monitoring its own foreign fighters who are coming back home. Especially such eventual threat is pushing the country for creating a new national security strategy related to this risky minority, which needs to be integrated back to the Moroccan society. |
Cooperation of Civil and Military Logistics in Military OperationsReviewed - ReviewDoc. Ing. Miroslav Cempírek, CSc., Doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina, CSc., Ing. Miroslav Musil, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 144-158 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.144-158 The article deals with the integration of outside resources into the process of support Forces in Military operations. The crux of this work lies in the illustration of 'place' and the role of Civil Contracting Supports in the Combat Service system of Armed Forces. It also accentuates the sense and complexity of Combat Service Support. The article analyses the advantages. disadvantages and risks for utilizating Civil Contractors in armed conflicts. The text respects this and acknowledges the benefit from experience of the NATO Armies in this field. In the closing part the authors formulate recommendations for the later boom of 'Combat Service' theory and practice. The effect and benefit of this article lies first of all in its suggestion of criteria for the selection of contractors. |
Strategic Documents of the Czech Republic and Ministry of Defence AcquisitionsReviewed - ReviewIng. Antonín Novotný, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 21-32 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.25.2016.03.021-032 This article aims to reflect a digression into the history of selected strategic documents, which processed the Ministry of Defence or was in the processing involved - in connection to the planning of acquisitions. The ambition of the article is not a comprehensive evaluation process, but only the selected aspects. After many years of decreasing Czech defence budget, is here the opposite situation. In connection with the new situation it is necessary to rethink the current approach to this topic; to ensure maximal security of the Czech Republic and in a figurative sense NATO and the European Union also. The fact, that the Czech strategy document was among the best in the EU, does not mean that defence spending is automatically efficient. |
Russian Involvement in the Conflict in Eastern Ukraine Over the Period April 2014 - February 2015 (Part 1)Reviewed - Reviewmjr. Ing. Tomáš HalačkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 55-73 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.25.2016.04.055-073 This study deals with selected aspects of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine in Luhansk and Donetsk region in period of April 2014 - to February 2015. Study is divided in two subsequent articles. The first article consists of introduction, theoretic-methodological part, analytical part and short summary, which defines main features of Russians engagement in the conflict. Theoretic-methodological part deals with terminological, theoretical and methodological background of analysis, including generally approach of Russian federation to security policy. Analytical part is divided in to the two partial chapters. The first deals with main Russian objective in the conflict. The second deals with the phases of Russian engagement. |
Optimization Dislocation of Accoutrements Military Distribution Points in the Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - Researchpor. Ing. Tatiana Macháčová, Ing. Michal ZelenákVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 73-90 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.25.2016.01.073-090 The article presents four possible dislocation options of military distribution points of accoutrements in the sector of Czech Armed Forces. The article assesses the impact of those options on the driving distance, total operation costs and the value of the stocks staff uniform shirts for men. There is defined simplified model and the calculation is used localization task on the base of these parameters. Analysis of the various options and their subsequent comparison is proposed optimal dislocation distribution points. In calculation the distance value will be determined based on knowledge of the coordinates of the localized objects. The final section is using a multi-criteria evaluation of alternatives selected the most appropriate option for distribution point of military accoutrements. |
The Command Post Exercise "Good Neighbourhood 2010" (CPX GN 2010): Lessons and ExperiencesMilitary artIng. Ladislav Koláček, Ing. Petr RypVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 50-59 The exercise was a continuation of series of exercises that were conducted in previous years. Among others, participants of the CPX were representatives of Defence University Brno, National Defence Academy Vienna, Austria, and the Armed Forces Academy, Liptovský Mikuláš, Slovakia. During the exercise, in imaginary region POPRADLAND, there were practiced various basis aspects of forces preparations and engagement that focus on EU Battle Group in Area of Responsibility, explaining forming commander and staff's decision-making process at the level of Battalion Task Force, during operational planning and its engagement in action. At the end the Officer Conducting the Exercise certified that participants in the CPX fulfilled set goals and aims of this exercise sucessfully. The exercise was designated maily for members of Higher and Basic Command and Staff Courses. |
Influence of Operating Environment Changing for Development of of Military Medical Service CapabilitiesReviewed - Reviewplk. gšt. MUDr. Richard Kraus, doc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 159-171 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.159-171 The following thesis focuses on the issues regarding deployment of medical forces within the shifting operational environment. It analyzes its development stages and considers their meaning and influence on current and forecasted developments of military health capabilities in the long run. The authors' fundamental research question is to be whether the changes to the operational environment's dynamics and scope will substantiate as the defining factors for ensuring interoperability with Alliance partners, for the purposes of developing new type of medical capabilities needed. Moreover, the importance of a rarely emphasized role of operational art in military medicine is discussed. Such tool seems to be a key element for the harmonization of strategic objectives with long-term tactical activities. |
Some Remarks to Military TerminologyNonreviewed - Otherplk. v. v. Ing. Karel Kozák, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 106-112 |
Targeting Process on the Example of the Libya CaseReviewed - Reviewmjr. Mgr. Terezie Němcová, MPAVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 61-71 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.061-071 Protection of the civilian population against the Gaddafi regime, it was a clear UN mandate for military intervention in Libya in 2011. Not only a new approach to leading the fight against terrorism after 11 September 2001, but also requires a change in approaches to conducting combat operations coalition forces, as shown by the recent armed conflict in Libya, inevitably required a new perspective on the concept and approach to the process of targeting as the process of selecting and prioritizing targets and responding to them in accordance with operational requirements and capabilities of units, synchronization of NATO forces, particularly with regard to collateral damage with an impact on the protection of civilians. And Unified Protector operation is a clear example. |
How to Prepare for Urban Warfare?Reviewed - Reviewkpt. Mgr. Karel Zetocha, Ph.D., nrtm. Tomáš KarásekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 172-189 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.172-189 Infantry company urban operations training experience shows that effective training requires interaction of doctrine with equipment and structure of units. NATO standards must be further developed at the national level to match the technology and organization of own units. Training requires elaboration of training manuals that contain specific tactical exercises for standardized training facilities. Experienced training instructors should focus on the preparation of organic units. Transferring experience from instructors directly to organic units is more efficient than preparing individuals in professional courses. |
Acquisition of Knowledge and Insights Gained Through "Lessons Learned" Process and Implementation in Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - Reviewpplk. Ing. Janka Kosecová, Doc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc., mjr. Ing. František GrmelaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 72-85 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.072-085 The process of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces is not ideal for several reasons. One of them is the underestimation of the process by top management. Another one is the low level of awareness of the process, institutions, possibilities and importance of the Lessons Learned Process as a whole. The aim of this article is to clarify the Lessons Learned Process as a tool to support the organization. The first part of the article deals with the process of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces including terminology. The second part of the article describes the factual implementation of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces. It points out achievements as well as drawbacks during its implementation. In addition to that, it introduces the current Czech military publications dealing with this topic. The conclusion presents the description of some suggestions and recommendations for further development of this process. |
Evaluation of Operation and Maintenance of the Ground Equipment of the Army of the Czech RepublicNonreviewed - OtherMjr. Ing. Martin Kurka, mjr. Ing. Jiří KudláčekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 136-154 The article reviews contemporary traditional approaches towards the evaluation of ground military vehicles and equipment, oriented on the role and potential of top-ranking officials in this area. The author promotes the introduction of some electronic Log Book for monitoring and rating the operational data of the military equipment, with the help of new General Packet Radio Service module, to improve the effectiveness of operational system, maintenance and savings. |
Military Police Needs its own ConceptNonreviewed - Othermjr. Ing. Lukáš StejskalVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 111-116 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.02.111-116 The article is related to the building process of Capabilities Development Concept of Military Police (MP) in Ministry of Defence environment. With regards to the specific status of MP within Ministry of defence and with regards to diversity of assigned tasks Capabilities Development Concept of MP is finally hybrid document, containing elements of concept, strategy and long-term development intent. This is positive fact based on unique status of this branch of arms. The author who is actively influencing the proces of concept building is describing his recommendations and observations which might be convenient also for those readers who are not Military Police workers. |
Leadership and Professionalization from the View of Officers in the Research Retrospection of the Years 2004-2008Reviewed - ResearchMgr. Jitka Laštovková, Ph.D., PhDr. Miroslav Barták, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 190-201 Presented analysis of interviews with officers at various level of command from 2004 - 2008 is aimed on their view of the process of command. On the basis of qualitative research we consider the recent way of command of the Czech officers intuitive and individual. It characterizes most common way to command, based just on experience. We consider differentiation in the way of leading and motivation of subordinates among types of forces and military specializations. The reflection of the professionalization, the training system, the perception of learned/natural ability to command and their career is offered to discussion in the context of changes in direction of education of Czech officers and commanders. |
Islamist Territorially Anchored Violent Non-State Actor in the International SystemReviewed - ReviewMgr. Zdeněk LudvíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 62-80 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.062-081 Islamist territorially anchored violent non-state actors (ITAVNSAs) seeking to change the status quo of the current international system constitute one of the greatest challenges the international order based on mutual respect of equal sovereign states. These actors in areas without the presence of power states use explicit cross-border violence to achieve their objective in accordance with universal Islamist ideology - the construction of a caliphate. The paper presents in the theoretical and modern historical perspectives methods of reduction of anarchy in the international system - power, economic, legalistic and normative - and highlights the reasons why face to face of these actors, these heretofore functional ways, be it on a regional or system level of analysis, fail. |
Evidence of Artillery Ammunition Ballistic Characteristics Using Barcodes within an Automated Artillery Fire Control SystemReviewed - Researchkpt. Ing. Karel Šilinger, Ph.D., mjr. Ing. Mgr. Martin Blaha, Ph.D., prof. Ing. Ladislav Potužák, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 38-46 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.04.038-046 This article contains the essence of the modular part of an automated artillery fire control system, which will enable automated detection of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics using barcodes placed on missiles and cartridges. The article describes the current state of evidence of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics, presents possible approaches to the concept of evidence of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics using barcodes, defines the framework requirements for the automation of this part of artillery fire ballistics preparation, describes the determination of the distance individual corrections resulting from the artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics and states possible ways to automated processing overview of artillery ammunition carried by the conveyors of missiles and cartridges. |
Host Nation Support (HNS) in the Context of International Air Forces Exercises in the Czech RepublicNonreviewed - Othernadporučík Ing. Martin ŠkvařilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 117-130 The article analyses the Host Nation Support (HNS) planning process in five separate phases according to the NATO procedures. The author emphasizes the importance, purpose and result of every planning stage. The main objective of the article is to apply general rules to the concrete examples of international air forces exercises. The author further identifies his comprehension of HNS formed in the specific conditions of the 22th Helicopter Base. The logistic planning process analysis is based on the experience from exercises Ramstein Rover and Ample Strike held in the period of 2012-2014. The paper is focused on exercises preparatory stages that create the basis for a successful accomplishment of the executive part. The results of the article present the trend of planning responsibility delegation to the tactical level and define the specifics of adapted planning process. The author's contribution may be used as a lead for the future application of the HNS concept. |
Defense Capability and Armed ForcesNonreviewed - Otherdoc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc., plk. gšt. Ing. Tomáš RakVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 68-78 The article aims at highlighting the dangers of long underestimating the need to permanently improve the defense capabilities to deal with current and future security threats. Authors suggest propositions on where to direct the efforts to improve the competence of the Defense to meet the Act Of Defense Requirements. The first part of the article describes, after brief analysis, the options of collective defense and explains the need to solve demanding tasks on own territory under national responsibility in parallel. The second part of the article describes the main thoughts of the theory of "territorial defense", which is missing in current Doctrine of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic. Theory of territorial defense makes a foundation, upon which the preparedness of the Armed forces of the Czech Republic should be built. In the third part of the article the authors discuss the alternative of implementing the collective defense principle by building multinational joint forces, independent of national armed forces, in transnational responsibility of the coalition of member states, dedicated to the territorial defense of member states and to crisis response expeditionary operations. |
Conceptual Development of the AFCR - Approaches and Strategic Starting PointsReviewed - ReviewIng. František Mičánek, Ing. Josef Procházka, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 4-19 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.004-019 This paper aims to enrich professional discussion on future shape of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic (AFCR) and is linked to the preceding research and publishing activities of members of the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies (CBVSS) at the University of Defence. In its first part, it performs a historical tour to the year 2012 and highlights the reasons that the former leadership of the ACR led to the start of construction work on the concept of AFCR (KVAČR). Briefly describes the interconnection and the hierarchy of individual conceptual and strategic documents, the procedure works on them and summarizes the arguments supporting the need of KVAČR as such. The next section brings potential methodological approaches to the preparation of this document, using the method of the "9S", including practical examples, it renumbers basic strategic assumptions and priorities in various stages, bordered by years 2020 and 2025 as a prerequisite for formulating strategies for achieving this specific goal. Within the document, there is a short excursion into the field of long-term planning for major areas of skills, using their description of DOTMLPFI functional areas, including an example of using this methodology in project preparation of program funding. The recommendations formulated in the article are based on the authors' best experiences with the preparation of documents of a similar type in the years 2003-2013, the recommendations of experts from the broader security community of the Czech Republic, and recommendations of the Alliance. As such, it has been passed to the KVAČR processors at level of the General Staff of AFCR over the years 2013-2014. |
The Draft Proposal for Army Accoutrements RegulationReviewed - Reviewkpt. Ing. Michal Zelenák, doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 137-145 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.03.137-145 The article introduces a variant of alternative accoutrements provided to the soldiers of the Army of the Czech Republic to replenish and compensate individual standardized items. The article proposes changes in furnishing soldiers, so that they would take into account their individual occupational specialities and predominant types of used military uniforms. Even though the authors use a simplified model in this paper, the final version of accoutrement modification represents the updating of the current law regulations. |
The Terminology of Peace Support Operations and Their Definition in Doctrinal Documents of the Czech Armed ForcesNonreviewed - Reviewbrigádní generál Ing. Jaromír Zůna, MSc., Ph.D.,Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-123 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.109-123 The aim of this article is to clarify the terminology of Peace Support Operations. This article briefly explains the evolution and history of peacekeeping operations, as well as the basic concepts and operations division of NATO Peace Support Operations. An important part of this article is the definition of Peacekeeping Operations in the doctrinal documents of the Czech Armed Forces. |
Information Support of Logistics Planning in NATONonreviewed - Otherdoc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina, CSc., Mgr. Roman Dufek, doc. Ing. Miroslav Cempírek, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 95-105 The article focuses on the current use of NATO logistics information systems in the NATO Defense Planning Process and the Operations Planning Process in the area of logistics. Information support is provided through the logistics information systems of LOGFAS (Logistics Functional Area Services), which generate the necessary information environment through various software tools. In order to improve future logistics information support, NATO is concurrently preparing a modernization of the existing information environment by the development of the LOG FS projects. In the future, those projects are expected to replace the existing information systems in order to optimize information support, deliver new features and to facilitate the coordination of logistic operations within the NATO integrated command and control network. |
Recent development of Transnistrian conflict in the light of crisis on UkraineReviewed - ReviewMgr. Lukáš DyčkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 38-45 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.038-045 This article analyses frozen Conflict in separatist region of Transnistria in the light of recent crisis on Ukraine. Despite standing in the shade of Ukraine, the importance of Transnistria has been once again highlighted by Russian support to separatist movements in post-soviet area. Hence text also argues, that by precise analysis of important agents involved in Transnistrian conflict, such as Russia, Ukraine or Romania, we can better understand not only current development in this "de-facto state", but also put annexation of Crimea (or war in eastern Ukraine) into context. On the other hand, influence of Russian military presence in Transnistria on Ukraine war effort is also important and deserves to be closely studied. |
The Analysis of Internal Regulations and Regulative Acts in Armed Forces (Part II)Reviewed - ReviewJUDr. Ing. Dalibor NovýVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.090-105 Article analyses the relation between legal and internal regulations and other management acts in public administration, focusing on their own hierarchy, quantity, liability in specific areas of Czech armed forces. The first part was published in Military Review No. 4/2013; this following section focuses on the creation of internal management acts and their releasing for the recipients. The article also emphasizes the need for a stable organization, which is necessary for the effective implementation of personnel management, personnel control and the so-called internal and external legislations. |
The Big Data Phenomenon as a Trend Influencing Technical Intelligence DisciplinesReviewed - OtherMjr. Ing. Martin Havlík, MBA, MSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 124-132 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.124-132 This specialised article deals with Big Data and the exploitation of this current day phenomenon in the field of intelligence disciplines, based on technical methods of data gathering and its relevant assessments. The introduction deals with the issue of development of the security environment and gives general overview on the current trends in the field of technical branches. The following chapter analyses the main trends, especially the digitalisation of the battlefield, rise in data volume and the development of new technologies. The next chapter is focused on the basic terminology description of the Big Data issue, which leads into final assessment and certain prediction of future development in this field and the rise of importance of this trend for the intelligence disciplines in future. |
Operational Approach Development: Application of Operational Art Theory in Practice (1st part)Reviewed - ReviewIng. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 128-135 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.128-135 The article deals with aspects of operational art inside the operations planning process. It deals with the concepts of operational design and suggests a possible way of introducing such theory into the development process of operational approach. This paper is a free sequel to several articles published in Military Review on this theme. It introduces several professional terms in the field of operational art, up to now not officially established. |
Twenty Years of the Army of the Czech Republic: How to Go On?Nonreviewed - OtherIng. Josef Procházka, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 48-58 The main characteristics of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic-leadership, organization, doctrines, personnel and its preparation, weapons systems, material, infrastructure-has been continuously adopted since their creation in 1993. This article analyses three main strands of this process: the first one constitutes the changes in the global security environment and their impact on the role and tasks of armed forces. The second strand reflects the marginalisation of security and defence policy agenda, influencing the instability of armed forces. The last strand focuses on the growing role of international organisations during the provision of security and defence of the Czech Republic. In summary, the author identifies main challenges ahead for Czech political and military leadership. |
Logistics Interoperability: A Prerequisite for the Optimal Building and Employment of Capabilities in Alliance Expeditionary OperationsReviewed - ReviewPlukovník Mgr. Roman Dufek, doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 76-86 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.076-086 Changing security environment and the need to address conventional and especially asymmetric threats and risks, wherever they occur, establish clear requirements on the development of national capabilities. Armed forces are required to be fully deployable and sustainable in operations in austere conditions for an extended period of time. In NATO-led operations currently participate many nations of different sizes, force structures, equipment, training and capabilities. The only way to reach operational goals while achieving economies of scale is a mutual cooperation of all involved participants. Basic key prerequisite for such cooperation is interoperability. |
The Future of Czech Defence SystemReviewed - ReviewPhDr. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 113-130 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.113-130 Methodically, presented study comes out of a book by Martin Potůček at al. Studying the Future as a Challenge. Its author offers a comprehensive characteristic of several fundamental challenges to social forecasting. It begins by defining forecasting as the formulation of conditional accounts of possible futures. The main forecasting theme to be solved are as follows: ageing Czech population as a security problem, corruption, criminality, organized crime as a tool of political and economy instability, the marginalization of Czech Armed Forces in context of globalization and overall European defence, possible threat of the collapse of Czech defence system. |

