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Czech Military Review

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Results 151 to 180 of 2094:

The Question of Deployment Length in Peace-keeping Missions

Military psychology

Mjr. Mgr. Marek Nový

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 122-128 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.04.122-128

From research reports cited in this article, the period of six months seems to be suitable time for the deployment abroad. A soldier should not be redeployed for at least one year, following his previous mission. The majority of soldiers cope with deployments well and without any psychopathology. Most reported mental problems are alcohol misuse, followed by posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and by the depression. Alcohol seems be even the higher risk for soldiers less exposed to combat stressors (e.g. fire), but more to chronic stressors (boredom, isolation, helplessness) than PTSD for a soldier in action. Therefore pre-deployment training of our soldiers should be more devoted to mental health aspects, starting with alcohol overuse.

The Assessment of Political Risks in the Selected Countries: Multivariate Statistical Methods

Informational pages

Ing. Jakub Odehnal, por. Bc. Ladislav Dudek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 111-119

The paper deals with the data were obtained from the set of variables published in the International Country Risk Guide. The variables were as follows: Government Stability, Socio-economic Conditions, Investment Profile, Internal Conflict, External Conflict, Corruption, and Military in Politics, Religious Tensions, Law and Order, Ethnic Tensions, Democratic Accountability, Bureaucracy Quality. To analyse the current situation in selected 140 countries, authors employ multivariate statistical techniques. They classify the analysed countries by means of cluster analysis to prove the existence of differentiated groups. The results were evaluated with the help of a dendrogram. The conclusions indicate that traditional NATO member countries achieve above-average values in the selected variables.

Command and Control as an Important Part of Military Science (Getting on for Information Age)

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Petr Ryp, plk. Ing. Robert Bielený

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 29-33

The specification of terminology related to terms command and control (C2) is quite important for further scholarly examination of military science. The command and control area is nowadays under the constant impact of the influx of information technology, as well as it is affected by the changes in the contemporary security environment. This article is dedicated to the military, its history, and its contributions to current military operations. It provides an attempt to specify terms "command and control" in both general and military levels. Finally, it provides clarification of the terminology within command and control systems, as their terminology has been changing. In a simple way, the C2 could be characterized as the execution of authority by the commander, via communication and information systems, with the use of current standard operational procedures, under present laws and rules, to act in the interest of forces to meet assigned orders and intentions.

Some Difficulties of Correlation between Strategy and Operational Art

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 132-143 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.132-143

The article deals with correlation of strategy and operational art. The aim of the article is to point on deficit of relationship between political decision-making and military planning. The first part of the article simply introduces doctrinal tools of operational art, applicable at both the operational and strategic level. The second part refers to the fact that application of some standard elements of operational art in terms of overall strategic framework loses partly importance because of their use in the context of unconventional conflict has been less appropriate. The third part deals with criticism of the mutual undesirable separation of politicians and military professionals involved in operations planning. Conclusion of the article offers possible solutions of this deficit.

Types of Problems Solved in the CR Department of Defence and Rules for their Solution

Reviewed - Research

Monika Grasseová-Motyčková, Eva Štěpánková

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 35-47 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.035-047

The article presents partial conclusions of the questionnaire survey on "Problem Solving in the Defence Department of the Czech Republic". First, possible types of the addressed problems and methods for solving the ill-structured problems are characterized. The aim of the empirical research, whose findings are presented, was to identify the ill-structured problems that are solved in the CR Defence Department, and to find out the extent of the use of the methods for problem solving within the mentioned organization. In order to collect data, a semi-structured questionnaire was developed. The total of 135 questionnaires provided data for evaluation. The respondents from the researched organization mostly meet the problems which are related to a planning process, also to a change of an organizational structure, training preparation and processing of internal regulations. The methods, which are used to solve the quoted problems in the Defence Department, are expert panel discussion, interview, brainstorming, wargaming (pros and cons analysis), SWOT analysis, analysis of concerned parties and an objective tree.The rules and recommendations for solving ill-structured problems in the CR Department of Defence are defined, based on the found out information, toward the end of the article.

Media Presentation of ISIS: Content Analysis of the Magazine Dabiq

Reviewed - Review

Bc. Jan Hanzelka, prof. JUDr. Miroslav Mareš, PhD.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 51-63 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.02.051-063

Thisarticledeals withanalysis ofthemagazineDabiq.Thismagazineis published by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and it serves to Jihadist propaganda in English language. The content analysis is used. Thematic fields (with qualitative analysis) and important terms (with term freqency analysis). Authors identified tree main themes of the Dabiq magazine - religion, establishing of the Caliphate and its functions and military operations of the ISIS. The conceptualization of the enemies from the point of view of the ISIS.

Information Operations on the Background of Contemporary Armed Conflicts

Reviewed - Review

Mjr. Ing. Tomáš Novák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 51-62 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.051-062

The article presents the theory of information operations on the background of contemporary armed conflicts in Ukraine, Iraq and Syria. In the introduction, information is presented as a phenomenon and the accelerator of social development. It outlines basic information channels that deliver security information to their recipients. Furthermore, the article discusses security and operational environment and also vulnerabilities being caused by increasing dependence on information. The core of the article are information operations presented in theory with the author's commentary on real application in military practice and in terms of the Czech Armed Forces. As part of information operations are subsequently introduced psychological operations, computer network operations and electronic warfare. The article ends with real examples of information and psychological operations in modern warfare, and conditions of their management in the Czech Armed Forces. The conclusion summarizes the general idea of the security environment and information operations, and stresses the importance of information operations in current and future conflicts.

Recenze - Jan Eichler: Valka a mir ve 20. stoleti

Nonreviewed - Other

doc. PhDr. Marek Loužek, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 138-141

Some Remarks to Military Terminology

Nonreviewed - Other

plk. v. v. Ing. Karel Kozák, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 106-112

Conceptual Development of the AFCR - Approaches and Strategic Starting Points

Reviewed - Review

Ing. František Mičánek, Ing. Josef Procházka, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 4-19 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.004-019

This paper aims to enrich professional discussion on future shape of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic (AFCR) and is linked to the preceding research and publishing activities of members of the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies (CBVSS) at the University of Defence. In its first part, it performs a historical tour to the year 2012 and highlights the reasons that the former leadership of the ACR led to the start of construction work on the concept of AFCR (KVAČR). Briefly describes the interconnection and the hierarchy of individual conceptual and strategic documents, the procedure works on them and summarizes the arguments supporting the need of KVAČR as such. The next section brings potential methodological approaches to the preparation of this document, using the method of the "9S", including practical examples, it renumbers basic strategic assumptions and priorities in various stages, bordered by years 2020 and 2025 as a prerequisite for formulating strategies for achieving this specific goal. Within the document, there is a short excursion into the field of long-term planning for major areas of skills, using their description of DOTMLPFI functional areas, including an example of using this methodology in project preparation of program funding. The recommendations formulated in the article are based on the authors' best experiences with the preparation of documents of a similar type in the years 2003-2013, the recommendations of experts from the broader security community of the Czech Republic, and recommendations of the Alliance. As such, it has been passed to the KVAČR processors at level of the General Staff of AFCR over the years 2013-2014.

Some Present-day Knowledge in Military Transport

Nonreviewed - Other

Pplk. Ing. Jaromír Mareš, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. ZC/2007, Vol. XVI. (XLVIII.): 84-92

The paper deals with present state of military transportation and theoretical solutions of transportation problem. Author cites some existing tasks in the branch of military transportation and transportation in the field of supplies of technical material, foodstuff and groceries. The article is accompanied by two graphs and several tables with examples of variants military transportation. This field of study is planned for both Bc, MA, and Ph.D. levels at Defence University Brno.

International Contexts of War in Ukraine

Reviewed - Review

doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 5-19 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.02.005-019

The article deals with the international context of the latent war in Ukraine. It explains the recent history of the post-Soviet area in the light of Galutng's theory of positive and negative peace. It continues by the annexation of the Crimean peninsula and its international consequences. At the same time, it examines key features of the debate in the USA as well as other NATO countries. It focuses also the debate about the livraison of arms to the Ukrainian government and explains the arguments of proponents as well of the opponents of this controversial project.

The Terminology of Peace Support Operations and Their Definition in Doctrinal Documents of the Czech Armed Forces

Nonreviewed - Review

brigádní generál Ing. Jaromír Zůna, MSc., Ph.D.,

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-123 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.109-123

The aim of this article is to clarify the terminology of Peace Support Operations. This article briefly explains the evolution and history of peacekeeping operations, as well as the basic concepts and operations division of NATO Peace Support Operations. An important part of this article is the definition of Peacekeeping Operations in the doctrinal documents of the Czech Armed Forces.
Peace Support Operations are dynamic and challenging activities. The intensity and complexity of Peace Support Operations has been increasing. That is why their political and military ambitions have been increasing too. There is a reason why authors explain this issue for readers, which is the main goal of this article.

Dlouhodoby vyhled pro obranu 2030 - pohled zevnitr

Nonreviewed - Research

PhDr. Mgr. Jakub Landovský, Ph.D., Mgr. Lukáš Dyčka, Mgr. Riegl Martin, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 3-7

Acquisition of Knowledge and Insights Gained Through "Lessons Learned" Process and Implementation in Czech Armed Forces

Reviewed - Review

pplk. Ing. Janka Kosecová, Doc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc., mjr. Ing. František Grmela

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 72-85 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.01.072-085

The process of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces is not ideal for several reasons. One of them is the underestimation of the process by top management. Another one is the low level of awareness of the process, institutions, possibilities and importance of the Lessons Learned Process as a whole. The aim of this article is to clarify the Lessons Learned Process as a tool to support the organization. The first part of the article deals with the process of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces including terminology. The second part of the article describes the factual implementation of the Lessons Learned in the Czech Armed Forces. It points out achievements as well as drawbacks during its implementation. In addition to that, it introduces the current Czech military publications dealing with this topic. The conclusion presents the description of some suggestions and recommendations for further development of this process.

Analytical and Conception Personnel of Defence Department in the Mirror of Research Project

Reviewed - Research

Prof. PhDr. František Ochrana, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 50-80 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.050-080

This article tries to analyse the employees of central state administration, who are involved in analytical, conception, planning and strategy activities. We organized a research at eleven ministries in 2013, to familiarize themselves with their roles. Only three ministries refused to take part in this research (home office, regional development ministry and agriculture ministry). The results reached describe how examined groups evaluated various factors influencing their analytic and conception performances. The identified state at the Defence Ministry is compared with overall situations at other ministries of the Czech Republic. At the end of this article the author expresses certain suggestions and recommendations how to improve current state of affairs.

Islamic State: Conflict Actors, their Participation, Motives and Goals

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Josef Kraus, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 20-36 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.02.020-036

This text is focused on current situation in Syria and Iraq and so called Islamic State, the one of the biggest threats of contemporary world. The rise of this quasi­state at background of civil war in Syria and still not fully solved conflict in Iraq is the result of involvement of many internal and external actors. The form of their involvement and especially their goals are very different from each other and despite sporadic and declaratory agreements in partial points the main reason the Islamic State still exists in very good shape is disunited attitude of local and external powers against it. The main aim of this text is to explain and to analyze main motives and goals of all relevant actors and sides of mentioned conflict and describe the way they affect its dynamics. Due to that it is possible to increase the knowledge of readers in such a chaotic, unclear and often misinterpreted situation in the Middle-East.

Border Defense against Infiltration and Guerilla Attacks

Reviewed - Research

Michael Bátrla

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 102-118 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.102-118

The text deals with the use of border defense as a means of protection against guerrilla attacks and infiltration, through a combination of principles of modern stationary fortifications and forward area defense. These are discussed on the case study of the Northern Border Security Project of Saudi Arabia. The role of attacker takes quasi-state formation the Islamic State (IS, ISIS, ISIL). The aim is to analyze whether the project would endure distinctive types of asymmetric attacks. Vulnerability prioritization for each component determines the most likely targets and their characteristics. This is a subjective semi quantitative method known as CARVER matrix. Subsequently, based on established premises, the text discusses three selected scenarios that use guerrilla tactics with elements of terrorism against selected targets. Attack scenarios show some of the possible ways of improvement for the project. In conclusion, the author makes recommendations for possible adjustments and assess the potential of using the project as a protection against asymmetric attacks. After reading the text, the reader is informed about the project, its components, as well as recommendations that can be applied in the further use of this type of defense.

Security System: Optimalization, or New Conception?

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Vladimír Krulík, PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 23-34 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.03.023-034

The article deals with the development of the security system since the November 1989 events. Special attention is paid to the situation near the year 2005, when the last opportunity to update a comprehensive concept of security system occurred. The text deals with the comprehensive management of the security system issue. The authors of the article present key events and strategic documents forming the current shape of the Czech security system. In the final part of article, you can find the proposal of the strategic document management system within the security development system. Article results in the knowledge that the modern security system concept is still challenge for us.

Security and Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation in Syria

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Lukáš Tichý

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 37-50 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.02.037-050

During the Arab Spring Revolution, when the protests against the Syrian government began in 2011, Russia was one of the strongest backers of President Bashar al-Assad's regime, backing its right to use force if necessary to prevent or put down an uprising. Currently, the Russian Federation is the power which has most prominently provided a diplomaticshieldforthe Syrian state and bolstered it witharms supplies, although Moscow talks about the need to "balance" between the warring parties in Syria. The main aim of this paper is to analyze the motives of the foreign and security policy of the Russian Federation in support of Syrian President BasharAssad in the background of Russian interests and influence of norms. At the theoretical level, the paper builds upon a combination of conventional constructivism and rationalism approaches, which in relation to the motives of Russian protection and defense of the ruling regime in Syria reflects a number of fundamental knowledge.

Predictive Methodology in Intelligence Services

Reviewed

Bc. Petr Zelinka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 29-39

This article aims at building a bridge upon a gap, which separates academic sphere and intelligence community in the issue of predictive methodology. The author tries to accomplish this objective by presenting intelligence predictive methods based on open-source literature research. First, the question of uncertainty and probability in prediction is introduced (Cynefin template). Then follows basic introduction to predictive methods in civil and military intelligences, so that the reader might grasp the fundamentals of early warning systems. The academics and above all journalists should know the risks and perils in forming intelligence forecasts, estimates, foresight and warning scenarios, e.g. the so-called Black Swan scenario, the author explains potentials failures of the Delphi method. This study ought to be regarded as an introductory to predictive intelligence concurrently done by governmental agencies for purposes of national security and defence.

The Lines of Operation Concept (Part II)

Military art

Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 53-64

The fundamentals of this concept, as they were explained in previous Military Review No 1, 2011, have stayed unchanged, up to the present. There still exist operational bases, directions, courses, lines, upon which military convoys transfer by the plan or in disorderly manner. Such picture corresponds to linear wars of first, second and third generations. The wars of fourth generation are characterized by the speed and initiative. The frontiers between war and politics are blurred, so are between civilians and combatants. They are mostly wars with and among non-state actors, counter-insurgency operations (COIN) Based on doctrinal analysis; author describes concepts philosophy in functional and logical aspects. This might help the commander and staff to visualize the arrangement of military capabilities in time, space, and purpose to accomplish the mission. The concept might be successfully applied in connection with stability and COIN operations.

Scientific Support of Strategical Decision-Making not only in Department of Defence

Opinions, controversy

Ing. Vlastimil Galatík, CSc., doc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 82-87

The article is a polemical expression of authors' opinion over this problem. It is related to the orientation of society, political coalitions, and single states towards higher goals. If we admit that the sustainable development of society is the base for securing a peace and stability, then we can state that the question of security or consecutively country defence cover problems of the whole social system, subsystems and system elements. Strategical decision-making ought to be the highest priority in our society. It is indisputable that such decisionmaking deserves scientifi c support. At the end of this article the authors propose a short algorithmic program for Czech military strategy that is planned for the year 2014 and the concept of Czech army development planned for 2015.

The Czech Republic and Its Participation in European Military Transport Organizations

Informational pages

pplk. Ing. Martin Rejzek, Ph.D., pplk. Ing. Luděk Hradecký

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 83-93

The NATO Washington Summit in 1999 discussed Defence Capability Initiatives to increase Alliance defence potential together with capacities for accelerated deployability and mobility of NATO forces. This fact was underlined during Prague Summit 2002. One of Prague Capabilities Commitments is the requirement of deployability and sustainability in operations. Among others, this requirement is met by Memorandum of Understanding and bilateral agreements. The Czech Republic is involved in activities of international organizations, enumerated in this article. We support a principle of specialization, the concentration to limited, part-time scale of transport capacities operating for Czech peacekeeping missions. Active participation in the Movement Coordination Centre Europe could be the leading pattern for synergic cooperation in the field of strategic transport.

The Operational Preparation of State Territory and a New System of Railroad Structure Reconstruction

Military professional

Ing. Jan Englich, doc. Ing. Radovan Soušek, Ph.D., Ing. Jan Strbačka, CSc., Ing. Pavel Viskup

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 145-159

The paper offers new looks at the system of railroad reconstruction in crisis and emergency situations. It originates from The Operational Plan of State Territory Preparation that is implemented in harmony with The Plan of Technology Protection of Railroad. This article is a free sequel to information published in this Military Revue No. 4/2005 dealing with drafting the plan of railroad technology protection. The authors´ main purpose is to give readers basic knowledge on key changes in railroad security system and main security measurements till 2013. The protection system is intended to be more flexible and economic.

Cyberspace as a "Fifth Domain"?

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Martin Bastl, Ph.D., Zuzana Gruberová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 10-21 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.04.010-021

The aim of the article is to present an up-to-date discussion on cyberspace as a new, fifth domain of warfare. The reader is provided with the concept of cyberspace, its current interpretation, primarily in American doctrines and military theory. The army mission is contextually mentioned as well, explicitly the limits of Czech forces capacity. The paper deals with the form of cyberspace and its characteristics in the context of military operations. It advocates the idea of cyberspace as a war domain, which is presented together with the criticism to such approach. The article concludes with the summary and evaluation of both sides' arguments, taking into account the specific role and abilities of armed forces.

Output Specifics of Rapid Map Products within the Framework of Geospatial Support at a Strategic Level

Reviewed - Review

plk. Ing. Vladimír Kovařík, MSc. Ph.D., pplk. Ing. Jan Marša, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 106-120 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.106-120

This paper deals with a geospatial support at a strategic level, especially with the production of rapid map products, presenting at this level the most required product type. Backed by their own working experiences from both NATO and EU command structures, the authors describe requirements for geospatial products created at a strategy level, emphasizing the importance of respecting the general cartographic principles. The authors compare the general technology of thematic map production, making use of Geographic Information System, technology, with the technology specific to the strategic level. They also describe the specifics of production at that level, presenting examples both similarities and differences between geospatial support in NATO and the EU.

Strategy and Strategy Culture in the Early 21st Century

Nonreviewed - Other

Doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 142-151

Strategy and strategic culture influence everyday lives of soldier and military units, as well as the system of their preparation for combats. In case of wars, they have a decisive impact on the destiny of civilian population. The strategic culture of every state has its national, international and historic dimensions. The article explains the criteria of militarism, because those phenomena were typical for a history of some states. First and foremost, backed by the analysis of a dramatic development of the strategic culture of the US during the first decade of the 21st century, the article concludes and explains its core and importance for our contemporary world.

The Theory of Culminating Point Part II

Military art

Plk. gšt. Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 41-48

It is a point at which attacking forces are unable to continue their attack or even defend themselves, because do casualties, shortages of fuel, ammunition and rations, and sheer physical exhaustion. This sequel article deals with the theory of the operational art focusing on the culminating point operational concept. The article emanates from Carl von Clausewitz's ideas and concepts described in his book "On War", doctrinal publications analysis and study projects of the operational art theorists. It treats conditions influencing achievement of the culminating point on single levels of war-strategic, operational and tactical and highlights coherences and factors having fundamental influences on culmination. The article is accompanied by several graphs describing this theory in detail. Key words: Culmination, Culminating Point, Zeroing, Intelligence Preparation of the Battlespace, Campaign Planning and Developing Operations.

Water Potential for Conflicts and Confusion of Global Hydropolitics

Reviewed - Review

Prof. Ing. Josef Říha, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 128-140 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.128-140

This paper addresses a gap in the literature relating to the effects and implications of water scarcity and the potential for water wars. The theme has evident military consequences. Experts provide rather pessimistic forecasts about the situation with freshwater on the planet. The early warning models seem to be quite useful as well as early warning conflict indicators. The author deals with the problem from the level of the Czech Republic.

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